Epidemiological analysis of novel coronavirus pneumonia in Huangpu District of Shanghai / 上海预防医学

Objective To understand the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 epidemic in Huangpu District of Shanghai, and to provide scientific evidence for prevention and control of COVID-19. Methods Descriptive statistics were used to study the suspected and confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported from January 21 through March 10, 2020 in Huangpu District, Shanghai. Results A total of 120 suspected cases of COVID-19 were reported, of which 12 were diagnosed and 108 were excluded.The first confirmed case was reported on January 21, and the last case was on February 10; the majority (11/12) of the confirmed cases were reported from January 21 through February 1.The average duration of time from the symptom onset to the first medical visit was 2.6 days, whereas the average duration from the first medical visit to the hospital diagnosis was 2.2 days.There were 15 suspected cases with a confirmed history of residence or tourism in Wuhan, in which 6 were confirmed cases.Moreover, 5 suspected cases had a confirmed history of contact with other confirmed cases, in which 3 were confirmed cases.Thus, exposure in Wuhan and exposure to confirmed cases were the most significant risk factors at this stage of the epidemic. Conclusion The 12 cases identified in Huangpu District of Shanghai are all adults, half of whom had confirmed history of exposure in Wuhan.The first cluster of COVID-19 cases in Shanghai is documented in Huangpu District.Epidemiological investigation reveals that the confirmed cases might be infectious the day before the symptom onset.

The application of time series analysis in modeling and predicting the influenza-like illness consultation rate in Huangpu District of Shanghai / 上海预防医学

Objective To explore the feasibility for modeling and forecasting outpatient consulta-tionrate of influenza-like illness ( ILI ) in Huangpu District of Shanghai . Methods ILI consultation rates from the first week of 2011 to the 52 th week of 2014 were collected through the National Influenza Surveillance Information System .SAS 9.3 was used to establish an optimal ARIMA model of ILI data .The forecasting ability of the ARIMA model was afterwards evaluated by using data from the first to the sixth week in 2015 . Results ARIMA ( 1 ,0 ,0 ) was identified as the final model in fitting outpatient vising rate of ILI with stable and white noise residual .Model validation showed that the real outpatient-visiting rate of ILI all fell in the 95%confidence interval of the predictive values . Conclusion ARIMA (1,0, 0 ) could be used in the forecast of ILI consultation rates in Huangpu District of Shanghai .

Valuation on the immunization efficacy on the 23 years who had received plasma-derived HBV vaccine as newborns / 中华流行病学杂志

<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To observe the long-term effect of plasma-derived HBV vaccine.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>The effect of a plasma-derived HBV vaccine which was given to children born in 1986 in Huangpu district in Shanghai were followed up once every two years and testing for HBsAg, anti-HBs and anti-HBc was carried out. Compared to background results from cross-sectional survey of hepatitis B virus in 1984 and 1985 (as internal control) as well as finding of survey targeted in non-plasma-derived HBV vaccine of children born in the same time in the nearby area from results investigated in 1991 (as external control), positive rate was calculated to assess the effect of protection.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>The population immunized was followed up for 23 years and 5993 blood samples were collected. During the period of follow-up, the positive rate of anti-HBs decreased from 89.01% to 18.77% and the average level was 40.39%. The average positive rate of anti-HBc was 1.87%. The annual positive rate fluctuated around the average level. HBsAg positive rate remained less than 1.00% (0.46% - 0.98%), with an average of 0.62% (37/5993). Ranges of positive efficacy were from 81.37% to 95.78% against background control and 72.76% against external control.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>The plasma-derived HBV vaccine showed a good long-term protective effect and there was no need for boosting the immunization 23 years later.</p>

Evaluation on the immunization efficacy on the 23 years who had received plasma-derived HBV vaccine as newborns / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To observe the long-term effect of plasma-derived HBV vaccine.Methods The effect of a plasma-derived HBV vaccine which was given to children born in 1986 in Huangpu district in Shanghai were followed up once every two years and testing for HBsAg,anti-HBs and anti-HBc was carried out.Compared to background results from cross-sectional survey of hepatitis B virus in 1984 and 1985 (as internal control) as well as finding of survey targeted in non-plasma-derived HBV vaccine of children born in the same time in the nearby area from results investigated in 1991 (as external control),positive rate was calculated to assess the effect of protection.Results The population immunized was followed up for 23 years and 5993 blood samples were collected.During the period of follow-up,the positive rate of anti-HBs decreased from 89.01％ to 18.77％ and the average level was 40.39％.The average positive rate of anti-HBc was 1.87％.The annual positive rate fluctuated around the average level.HBsAg positive rate remained less than 1.00％ (0.46％-0.98％),with an average of 0.62％ (37/5993).Ranges of positive efficacy were from 81.37％ to 95.78％ against background control and 72.76％ against external control.Conclusion The plasma-derived HBV vaccine showed a good long-term protective effect and there was no need for boosting the immunization 23 years later.

Evaluation on the immunization efficacy on the 23 years who had received plasma-derived HBV vaccine as newborns / 中华流行病学杂志

Objective To observe the long-term effect of plasma-derived HBV vaccine.Methods The effect of a plasma-derived HBV vaccine which was given to children born in 1986 in Huangpu district in Shanghai were followed up once every two years and testing for HBsAg,anti-HBs and anti-HBc was carried out.Compared to background results from cross-sectional survey of hepatitis B virus in 1984 and 1985 (as internal control) as well as finding of survey targeted in non-plasma-derived HBV vaccine of children born in the same time in the nearby area from results investigated in 1991 (as external control),positive rate was calculated to assess the effect of protection.Results The population immunized was followed up for 23 years and 5993 blood samples were collected.During the period of follow-up,the positive rate of anti-HBs decreased from 89.01％ to 18.77％ and the average level was 40.39％.The average positive rate of anti-HBc was 1.87％.The annual positive rate fluctuated around the average level.HBsAg positive rate remained less than 1.00％ (0.46％-0.98％),with an average of 0.62％ (37/5993).Ranges of positive efficacy were from 81.37％ to 95.78％ against background control and 72.76％ against external control.Conclusion The plasma-derived HBV vaccine showed a good long-term protective effect and there was no need for boosting the immunization 23 years later.

Specific induction of anti-leukemia effects by umbilical cord cell-derived CD8+ T cytotoxic lymphocytes / 中华血液学杂志

<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To explore the specific anti-leukemia immune response of CD8+ cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) derived from cord blood (CB) ex vivo and evaluate the feasibilities and values of the CTL for specific immunotherapy.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>Dendritic cells (DC) were induced from mononuclear cells (MNC) by combination cytokines in 10 CB samples. Loading U937 cell lysate antigen on the mature DC, they could stimulate the lymphocytes of the same origin to generate CTL. MidiMACS was used to isolate CD8+ CTL. Analysis of DC was performed by inverted microscopy, scanning electron microscopy and flow cytometry. Methyl thiazolyl tetrazolium (MTT) assay was used to evaluate the cytotoxicity of the CTL.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>Cocultured with GM-CSF, IL-4, TNF-alpha and PGE2, CB-MNC could be induced into functional DC with typical morphology. The mean cytotoxicity of CD8+ CTL to U937 cells was significant stronger than that of CD8- CTL and TL at the same E: T ratios. The mean cytotoxicity rate of CD8+ CTL to U937 cells was higher than that to K562 cells [(66.36 +/- 12.43)% vs (41.97 +/- 14.24)%] at E: T ratio of 40: 1 (P < 0.05). The cytotoxicity of CD8- CTL to K562 cells showed no difference from that to U937 cells (P > 0.05).</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>Mature CB-DC loading U937 cell antigens could induce CB-T lymphocytes to generate leukemia-specific CD8+ CTL. The cytotoxicity of the CD8+ CTL is specific against U937 cells and is more potent than that of CD8- CTL.</p>